Federal Elections Analysis Federal Elections AnalysisElection analysis

House

2026 House forecast.

Our official predictions and probabilities for the 2026 house elections.

This House forecast will be reworked in a future update. Treat current district ratings and seat projections as interim until the next model version ships.

Model built and maintained by gamerdoglover.

Districts

The 2026 House map.

Temporary map note: the visual district shapes may lag enacted 2026 redistricting while updated files are added. Forecast ratings use the redistricting override layer where public feeds are stale, including Louisiana Act 2 / SB 121.

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National House control probability over time
Projected House seats over time
Seat distribution
Closest districts

Path to control

What control simulations have in common.